For this chart, a 1 is an expected production of 1, and a -1 is an expected loss. Swing charts often give you a great idea of when a particular player is going to hit a home run; they are one of the most valuable tools in the player market. Because of that, and because they are always a little volatile, they are not always worth the time spent learning and developing. I am not going to go through every swing chart out there, but you can use this one in an easy-to-understand graph to help you understand, especially when you have a good idea of how a player’s overall swing is being measured. Once you have learned how to do so, you should then create a better, more reliable swing chart yourself. In my opinion, the easiest way to create a swing chart is to start with a simple 1-and-0 pitch by player. (If you don’t already have a 1-and-0 pitch from previous innings, it’s probably better to start with something simple and to then refine your ideas as you progress from that one inning to another. For an introduction to 1-and-0 pitches, see the section on pitch-by-pitch adjustments. But for now, I’d like to focus on starting with a 1-and-0 pitch because it allows us to get a more accurate sense of a player’s overall swing, and this will in turn allow us to better judge his potential). The 1-and-0 pitch of a normal pitcher will be a 2xH, 1xFB pitch. The 1-and-0 pitch of a pitcher that wants to take a shot at a strikeout is usually going to be a 2xH, 1xFB pitch. This is because most hitters are likely going to start with a 2×2, where they don’t expect the 1-and-0 pitch to come out of their hand.
It also helps us understand the relative impact of the 1-and-0 swing. Think of it like the two corner infielder, 2B, 3B, 4B, 5B, and 1B positions, and the 1-and-0 position just means “the hitter who is not in a position to hit. Usually this position, of 5B, is not that valuable, so we don’t use it.” The 1-and-0 position, on the other hand, has a lower likelihood of getting a hit but can take a couple of steps in getting in the batter’s box
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